Coronavirus: Why We Are 3 Weeks Behind Italy

Mike Ryan, head of the World Health Organization Emergencies Program, WHO

“Until [containment] is impossible, we should keep trying.”

–Dr. Mike Ryan, Head of WHO Emergencies Program

I think it would help today by starting this post with a few quotes that reveal the path of thinking from health experts around the world as this global crisis has unfolded:

“The more we learn about it, the greater the possibility is that transmission will not be able to be controlled with public health measures” (Dr. Allison McGeer; Director of Infection Control, Mt. Sinai Hospital, 1/28/20).

“Increasingly unlikely that this virus can be contained” (Dr. Thomas R. Friedman; Fmr. Director CDC, 2/2/20).

“This looks far more like H1N1’s spread than SARS, and I am increasingly alarmed” (Dr. Peter Plot; Director, The London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, 2/2/20).

“The tipping point–after which our ability to prevent a global pandemic ends–seems a lot closer after the past 24 hours” (Prof. Paul Hunter; Professor of Health Protection, University of East Angola 2/23/20).

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Coronavirus: What World Governments Know and Aren’t Saying

Transmission electron microscopic image of an isolate from the first U.S. case of COVID-19, formerly known as 2019-nCoV. The spherical viral particles, colorized blue, contain cross-section through the viral genome, seen as black dots. (CDC Image Library)

According to the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), the coronavirus (COVID-19) has a death rate around 3%. This number in and of itself is very high for a disease that’s as contagious as coronavirus. By comparison, COVID-19 is 30X deadlier than the flu. But this is NOT the only reason why world governments are in panic mode over this disease. There is a statistic that officials are being very quiet about.

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What Is Happening With the World?

image credit: Mike Davis*

Today my mind is filled with the random thoughts of time. It’s one of those things you periodically think about when you are incarcerated, but I don’t imagine this comes as a surprise to any of you? So here we are in 2020. Wow, had someone asked me in 1990 what the year 2020 would look like I’d’ve said, “Buddy, we’ll be lucky to make it to the year 2000 let alone 2020.”

Yet, here we are.

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